Energy • Logistics•ACTIVE MONITORING

Impact of PADD 1 Refining Outages on North American Energy Markets

MODERATE RISKHIGH VELOCITYIMPACT INDEX: 65%
SIGMA MAILLE INGESTED: 6 Oct 2026, 1:35 pm
INGESTION LATENCY: 12ms
Executive Summary

Compounding refinery outages at Paulsboro and Irving Oil Saint John are tightening supply for the US East Coast (PADD 1) during a critical maintenance window. This reduction in regional throughput increases reliance on external supply chains and elevates the risk of localized price volatility. Market participants should monitor the duration of these turnarounds for potential downstream impacts.

Intelligence Brief

Public Executive Analysis

Refining capacity in PADD 1 is currently constrained due to compounding outages at the Paulsboro and Irving Oil Saint John facilities. These disruptions, occurring during scheduled October turnarounds, are creating a supply deficit for the US East Coast. Market participants should anticipate increased reliance on PADD 3 supply and potential regional price volatility.

Intelligence Snapshot

Industries

EnergyLogistics

Geographic Focus

US East CoastCanadaPADD 1

Related Topics

Energy SecurityRefining CapacitySupply Chain Logistics

Situation Context

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Location
PADD 1 Refining Corridor
Macro region
NORTH AMERICA

Strategic Intelligence Assessment

The simultaneous operational disruptions at the Paulsboro refinery and the Irving Oil Saint John facility represent a significant tightening of supply-side capacity for the PADD 1 (US East Coast) region....

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